Mezzolara vs Borgo San Donnino analysis


32	ELO	26
-20.7%	Tilt	-15.9%
21713º	General ELO ranking	48204º
576º	Country ELO ranking	1396º
ELO win probability

53.2%

Mezzolara

22.3%

Draw

24.5%

Borgo San Donnino

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

53.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%

22.3%

Draw

0-0

4.4%

1-1

10.2%

2-2

6%

3-3

1.5%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

22.3%

24.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

18º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

23

2º

18º

28

15º

18º

16º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

16º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	72	72	1º	0%
2º	72	72	2º	0%
5º	59	62	3º	73.5%
6º	58	61	4º	17%
3º	61	61	5º	0%
4º	60	60	6º	50.5%
7º	47	47	7º	0%
9º	47	47	8º	0%
8º	47	47	9º	0%
12º	42	45	10º	50.5%
10º	44	45	11º	50.5%
11º	44	44	12º	50.5%
13º	41	41	13º	100%
14º	38	38	14º	94%
15º	32	33	15º	94%
16º	28	28	16º	100%
17º	27	27	17º	100%
18º	23	23	18º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	0%
Promotion play-offs	0%	0%
Mid-table	100%	0%
Relegation	0%	100%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mezzolara

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
21 Jan. 2024	ACP 0 - 0 MEZ 65% 20% 15%	33	41	8	0
14 Jan. 2024	MEZ 0 - 2 CER 66% 19% 15%	34	21	13	-1
07 Jan. 2024	IMO 1 - 0 MEZ 71% 19% 10%	35	49	14	-1
20 Dec. 2023	PRO 2 - 2 MEZ 39% 25% 36%	35	34	1	0
16 Dec. 2023	MEZ 2 - 3 FOR 25% 28% 47%	36	44	8	-1

Matches

Borgo San Donnino

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
21 Jan. 2024	BSD 2 - 1 SAM 21% 21% 59%	25	38	13	0
14 Jan. 2024	CAR 1 - 1 BSD 81% 12% 7%	25	46	21	0
07 Jan. 2024	BSD 0 - 1 ACA 17% 19% 64%	25	42	17	0
20 Dec. 2023	BSD 0 - 4 VSM 30% 23% 47%	27	34	7	-2
16 Dec. 2023	RAV 4 - 0 BSD 72% 18% 11%	28	50	22	-1