México U23 vs Honduras U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
México U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
TYT
1 - 7
MEX
21%
22%
57%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MEX
2 - 1
SEN
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
MEX
0 - 3
VEN
11%
20%
70%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
MEX
5 - 1
HAI
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
MEX
1 - 2
GTM
68%
19%
14%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Honduras U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
HND
3 - 1
PAN
49%
24%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
KOR
1 - 0
HND
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
CMR
1 - 0
HND
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2008 |
HND
0 - 3
ITA
33%
24%
43%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
USA
0 - 1
HND
58%
22%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |