Mexico U23s vs Canadá Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico U23s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
MEX
1 - 0
PAN
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MEX
3 - 0
HND
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
TYT
1 - 7
MEX
21%
22%
57%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MEX
2 - 1
SEN
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
MEX
0 - 3
VEN
11%
20%
70%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Canadá Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 1
CUB
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
USA
0 - 2
CAN
68%
18%
14%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
SLV
0 - 0
CAN
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
GTM
0 - 0
CAN
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
USA
3 - 0
CAN
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |