Meux II vs Ligny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
32.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Meux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
PRO
2 - 0
MEU
42%
23%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MEU
2 - 3
NIS
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BEA
3 - 0
MEU
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MEU
4 - 2
ASS
23%
21%
56%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
AIS
2 - 0
MEU
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ligny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LIG
0 - 1
GRA
39%
23%
38%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 2
LIG
44%
23%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
LIG
2 - 3
PES
31%
22%
47%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
NIS
1 - 1
LIG
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LIG
2 - 2
CON
38%
23%
40%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |