Metz vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
27%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
MET
0 - 2
STR
46%
22%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1947 |
FCR
0 - 1
MET
51%
22%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1947 |
MET
2 - 2
REI
35%
23%
42%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1947 |
RED
3 - 1
MET
53%
21%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
MET
2 - 1
LEN
49%
23%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
TFC
3 - 2
FCR
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1947 |
TFC
3 - 4
LIL
38%
23%
39%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1947 |
TFC
2 - 0
LEN
54%
20%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1947 |
LHA
0 - 2
TFC
47%
22%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
SÈT
1 - 0
TFC
61%
19%
21%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |