Metz vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
22.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1991 |
SPO
2 - 1
MET
38%
30%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1991 |
ROD
1 - 1
MET
19%
22%
59%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1991 |
MET
0 - 0
MPL
45%
28%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1991 |
ASN
0 - 1
MET
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1991 |
MET
0 - 0
BRE
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1991 |
NIC
1 - 1
LYO
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1991 |
NIC
3 - 0
ASN
54%
25%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1991 |
AUX
5 - 1
NIC
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1991 |
DIJ
3 - 1
NIC
41%
24%
35%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1991 |
SOC
0 - 0
NIC
54%
27%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |