Metz vs Luzenac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
12%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
MET
2 - 0
LPS
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
VAN
1 - 2
MET
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
MET
3 - 2
SED
39%
26%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
MET
2 - 1
USB
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
MET
1 - 1
TOU
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Luzenac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
LUZ
1 - 4
VAN
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
USB
1 - 0
LUZ
57%
24%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
LUZ
3 - 3
CHE
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
TFC
3 - 1
LUZ
70%
21%
9%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
LUZ
2 - 0
PFC
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |