Metz vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1984 |
AUX
6 - 1
MET
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1984 |
MET
1 - 1
PSG
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1983 |
MON
2 - 2
MET
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1983 |
MET
1 - 0
ASS
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1983 |
MET
2 - 0
SPO
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1984 |
LIL
1 - 0
STL
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1984 |
NAN
2 - 1
LIL
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1983 |
LIL
0 - 0
TFC
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1983 |
GIR
5 - 2
LIL
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1983 |
LIL
0 - 1
FCR
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |