Metz vs Le Havre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
SÈT
4 - 1
MET
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
NÎM
2 - 1
MET
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
MET
1 - 0
SFP
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1954 |
MET
2 - 2
TFC
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
MON
2 - 0
MET
66%
18%
17%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
LEN
3 - 1
LHA
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1954 |
TFC
5 - 1
LHA
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
GIR
1 - 4
LHA
77%
13%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
LHA
0 - 0
REI
31%
24%
46%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1954 |
LHA
3 - 1
RCR
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |