Metz vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
ESW
0 - 0
MET
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2003 |
MET
4 - 0
LMU
58%
24%
19%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2003 |
MET
4 - 1
IST
68%
21%
11%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
ASN
0 - 1
MET
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2003 |
LOR
2 - 0
MET
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
NIO
1 - 1
LOR
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
TFC
4 - 1
NIO
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
NIO
0 - 0
REI
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2003 |
IST
1 - 3
NIO
42%
28%
31%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
AMI
1 - 0
NIO
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |