Metz U19 vs Troyes U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
32.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
8º
4º
46
2º
13º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
83% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 36 |
8º
|
64.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
46.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 30 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
OLY
32%
22%
46%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 0
MET
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MET
2 - 2
AUX
30%
24%
46%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 1
MET
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
MET
4 - 1
MON
81%
12%
8%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
MON
4 - 0
TRO
14%
18%
69%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 0
MET
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
STR
4 - 0
TRO
35%
24%
42%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
TRO
5 - 1
PAG
79%
13%
8%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SOC
1 - 3
TRO
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |