Metz U19 vs Paris FC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
23.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
8º
4º
35
3º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
83% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 36 |
8º
|
64.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
46.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 30 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
AND
2 - 1
MET
31%
23%
46%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MET
4 - 1
REI
41%
22%
38%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CLE
2 - 0
MET
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
MET
3 - 2
OLY
45%
22%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MET
1 - 2
STR
39%
24%
38%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Paris FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
STR
17%
20%
63%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BOB
1 - 1
PAR
46%
21%
34%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 2
SOC
23%
23%
54%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
AUX
1 - 0
PAR
74%
17%
10%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 1
MUL
68%
17%
15%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |