Metropolitano vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
53.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
MET
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
JUV
0 - 0
MET
53%
25%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MET
2 - 2
JUV
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MET
2 - 1
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
MET
42%
27%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 1
CRI
44%
24%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CEA
0 - 3
JEC
60%
23%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
JEC
2 - 1
AMF
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 2
JEC
29%
28%
43%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
JEC
1 - 1
OES
62%
21%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |