Metropolitano vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
58.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FFL
3 - 2
MET
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
MET
2 - 1
JEC
23%
24%
53%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
MET
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
JUV
0 - 0
MET
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MET
2 - 2
JUV
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
CRI
1 - 0
BRU
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
CRI
1 - 0
FFL
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 1
CRI
44%
24%
32%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 0
CRI
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CRI
1 - 0
SAO
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |