Metropolitan Police vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitan Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MET
3 - 1
FOL
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
MET
4 - 1
DOR
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MER
0 - 0
MET
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
HEY
1 - 1
MET
45%
23%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
LEI
3 - 0
MET
72%
17%
12%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
TON
1 - 0
WIN
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
HAR
3 - 0
WIN
34%
25%
42%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
BRI
1 - 0
WIN
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
WIN
1 - 0
WOR
75%
15%
10%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
WIN
1 - 2
HEM
34%
24%
43%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |