Metropolitan Police vs Tooting and Mitcham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitan Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
MET
2 - 1
KIN
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
MET
1 - 0
CRA
38%
25%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
HEN
1 - 3
MET
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 0
MET
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
HOR
2 - 2
MET
20%
24%
57%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
TOO
2 - 2
HOR
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
BIL
5 - 1
TOO
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
TOO
2 - 1
LOW
18%
22%
60%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
WEA
3 - 0
TOO
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CAN
2 - 0
TOO
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |