Metropolitan Police vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitan Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
COR
0 - 4
MET
27%
24%
50%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
MET
2 - 0
FAV
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
WAL
1 - 4
MET
19%
24%
58%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FLE
0 - 2
MET
21%
25%
55%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
MET
1 - 1
BOG
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
MER
0 - 4
CHI
36%
24%
39%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
FLE
1 - 1
MER
52%
24%
25%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
MER
1 - 4
WHI
21%
21%
58%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 2
MER
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
MER
1 - 0
GOD
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |