Metropolitan Police vs AFC Hornchurch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
55.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitan Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
MET
3 - 1
THA
56%
23%
22%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 2
MET
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
WIN
0 - 3
MET
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
WEA
1 - 1
MET
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
MET
0 - 0
LOW
19%
23%
58%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
BUR
3 - 2
HOR
32%
25%
44%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 2
BIL
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
HOR
3 - 2
MAR
59%
23%
17%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
HEN
0 - 1
HOR
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
HOR
3 - 0
WIN
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |