Metallurg Bekabad vs Nasaf Qarshi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
43.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
9º
14º
10º
48
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metallurg Bekabad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2023 |
BUN
1 - 0
MET
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
BUX
1 - 0
MET
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
AND
5 - 0
MET
40%
28%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MET
2 - 0
OLM
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
MET
2 - 2
URF
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 14 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Nasaf Qarshi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
NAS
0 - 0
NAV
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
NAS
1 - 0
TER
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
NAS
3 - 0
FKO
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
BUN
1 - 1
NAS
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
NAS
3 - 2
TER
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |