Mestre vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
48%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MES
2 - 1
TRI
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FER
1 - 0
MES
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MES
1 - 1
ASG
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ABN
1 - 3
MES
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
MES
1 - 1
TER
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
REG
0 - 2
SSS
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SSS
0 - 1
PAD
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
FER
2 - 0
SSS
20%
24%
57%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ASG
0 - 2
SSS
28%
25%
47%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SSS
3 - 2
FER
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |