Mestre vs Luparense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
GSD
3 - 0
MES
17%
22%
62%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
MES
2 - 0
CLO
72%
18%
10%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
LUI
1 - 2
MES
7%
13%
80%
|
43 | 14 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
MES
3 - 1
CJA
76%
16%
9%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
DEL
1 - 3
MES
17%
21%
61%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Luparense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAL
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 1
SAN
28%
23%
49%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 3
LEG
55%
22%
24%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 1
SAN
30%
22%
49%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 3
SDA
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |