Mesta vs Velbazhd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mesta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
LEP
1 - 0
MES
20%
23%
57%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MES
1 - 0
VDD
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PEK
5 - 0
MES
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
MES
4 - 1
STR
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 1
MES
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Velbazhd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LEP
0 - 1
VEL
32%
25%
43%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 1
BEL
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +3 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
VDD
0 - 2
VEL
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 1
GER
56%
23%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
PEK
2 - 0
VEL
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -2 |