ACR Messina vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
41.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
TER
3 - 0
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2003 |
MES
1 - 1
NAP
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
SAL
3 - 0
MES
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -3 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
MES
2 - 0
PES
53%
23%
23%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
MES
1 - 1
NAP
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
VIC
1 - 1
FIO
39%
26%
36%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2003 |
VNZ
1 - 1
VIC
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
TRI
1 - 1
VIC
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
TER
1 - 1
VIC
37%
26%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
VIC
2 - 2
SAL
72%
18%
11%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |