ACR Messina vs US Vibonese Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
MES
2 - 2
ASD
62%
19%
19%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 0
MES
31%
26%
43%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
MES
1 - 2
ACI
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
GEL
0 - 0
MES
27%
27%
47%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MES
1 - 1
GEL
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
US Vibonese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
USV
5 - 0
PPI
82%
13%
6%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
USV
1 - 1
GEL
60%
23%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ASD
0 - 0
USV
40%
23%
37%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
NOC
1 - 0
USV
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
USV
3 - 4
CCI
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -1 |