Lega Pro Group C Round 15

ACR Messina vs Juve Stabia analysis

ACR Messina Juve Stabia
50 ELO 60
-16.3% Tilt -9.1%
3419º General ELO ranking 813º
114º Country ELO ranking 44º
ELO win probability
22%
ACR Messina
26%
Draw
52%
Juve Stabia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
ACR Messina
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
52.1%
Win probability
Juve Stabia
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
ACR Messina
+3%
+28%
Juve Stabia

Points and table prediction

ACR Messina
Their league position
Juve Stabia
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
18º
14º
79
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Juve Stabia
79
79
100%
Avellino
69
69
100%
Taranto
69
69
100%
Benevento
66
66
100%
Casertana
65
65
100%
Picerno
58
58
100%
Audace Cerignola
53
53
0%
SSC Giugliano
53
53
0%
Crotone
52
52
100%
Latina
10º
51
51
10º
100%
Calcio Foggia
11º
48
48
11º
0%
Sorrento
12º
48
48
12º
0%
Catania
13º
45
45
13º
100%
ACR Messina
14º
45
45
14º
100%
Turris Neapolis
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Potenza Calcio
16º
43
43
16º
100%
Monopoli
17º
42
42
17º
100%
Monterosi Tuscia
19º
35
35
18º
100%
Virtus Francavilla
18º
35
35
19º
100%
Brindisi
20º
29
29
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
ACR Messina
Juve Stabia
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

ACR Messina
Juve Stabia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ACR Messina
ACR Messina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2023
USF
Calcio Foggia
2 - 0
ACR Messina
MES
73%
18%
9%
51 63 12 0
12 Nov. 2023
MES
ACR Messina
0 - 3
Latina
LAT
30%
28%
43%
52 57 5 -1
05 Nov. 2023
MES
ACR Messina
0 - 1
Benevento
BEN
11%
24%
65%
52 74 22 0
01 Nov. 2023
TAR
Taranto
2 - 0
ACR Messina
MES
46%
29%
26%
53 58 5 -1
29 Oct. 2023
CRO
Crotone
3 - 3
ACR Messina
MES
75%
17%
8%
52 67 15 +1

Matches

Juve Stabia
Juve Stabia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2023
JUS
Juve Stabia
0 - 0
Sorrento
SOR
65%
21%
14%
60 50 10 0
13 Nov. 2023
JUS
Juve Stabia
0 - 0
Calcio Foggia
USF
33%
26%
41%
60 63 3 0
08 Nov. 2023
TUR
Turris Neapolis
3 - 5
Juve Stabia
JUS
31%
24%
46%
59 52 7 +1
05 Nov. 2023
TAR
Taranto
0 - 2
Juve Stabia
JUS
37%
30%
33%
58 59 1 +1
29 Oct. 2023
JUS
Juve Stabia
1 - 0
Latina
LAT
48%
25%
27%
57 56 1 +1