ACR Messina vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MAT
3 - 1
MES
65%
21%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MES
4 - 1
REG
26%
25%
50%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
LRO
2 - 2
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MES
0 - 2
SSB
38%
27%
35%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
MES
3 - 0
FCS
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
PAG
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
PAG
2 - 2
LRO
53%
25%
23%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2015 |
REG
1 - 1
PAG
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
PAG
0 - 0
MAT
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
PAG
0 - 4
USF
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |