ACR Messina vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
63.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
CHI
2 - 0
MES
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
MES
3 - 1
TRE
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
INT
3 - 0
MES
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
MES
1 - 1
UDI
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
ROM
2 - 1
MES
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
ACM
0 - 1
FCB
51%
25%
25%
|
94 | 94 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
ACM
1 - 0
INT
58%
23%
20%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
ACM
4 - 1
CHI
79%
15%
7%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2006 |
ACM
3 - 1
LYO
62%
22%
16%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
LEC
1 - 0
ACM
14%
23%
63%
|
94 | 77 | 17 | -1 |