ACR Messina vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
41.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
MES
0 - 0
PAL
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
EMP
1 - 3
MES
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
MES
1 - 1
REG
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
ACM
4 - 0
MES
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
MES
2 - 0
CHI
42%
27%
32%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 1
LAZ
37%
27%
35%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2006 |
CTT
0 - 0
LAZ
14%
23%
63%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
LAZ
4 - 1
ASC
75%
17%
9%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
LEC
0 - 0
LAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
LAZ
1 - 1
JUV
25%
25%
50%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |