ACR Messina vs Forza e Coraggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
VAL
4 - 0
MES
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
SPC
3 - 0
MES
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
MES
0 - 3
EBO
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
CAS
0 - 1
MES
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
MES
1 - 0
GSM
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Forza e Coraggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
SPC
55%
24%
22%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 0
EBO
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
CAS
2 - 0
FOR
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 0
GSM
74%
17%
10%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
FCR
2 - 3
FOR
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |