ACR Messina vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
16.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
BAR
2 - 1
MES
55%
26%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
MES
2 - 1
REG
48%
27%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
TAR
3 - 1
MES
37%
32%
31%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
MES
0 - 0
UDI
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
AVE
1 - 1
MES
51%
28%
21%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
TAR
1 - 1
FCC
43%
32%
25%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
FCC
1 - 1
AVE
37%
30%
32%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
USC
0 - 0
FCC
58%
25%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
FCC
3 - 0
ANC
45%
29%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
SSB
4 - 1
FCC
51%
28%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |