ACR Messina vs Comprensorio Normanno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
COM
1 - 1
MES
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MES
2 - 1
CIT
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
RIB
3 - 0
MES
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -3 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MES
2 - 1
AGR
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
NOT
1 - 2
MES
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Comprensorio Normanno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
COM
3 - 2
LIC
23%
22%
54%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CAV
1 - 1
COM
75%
17%
9%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
COM
0 - 0
ASD
21%
23%
56%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
GEL
3 - 1
COM
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
COM
3 - 0
USV
50%
24%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |