ACR Messina vs Montalto Comprensorio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CIT
0 - 0
MES
44%
25%
30%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MES
2 - 1
RIB
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
AGR
0 - 1
MES
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MES
2 - 0
NOT
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ACI
0 - 1
MES
17%
25%
57%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Montalto Comprensorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
COM
1 - 0
LIC
33%
23%
44%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CAV
4 - 3
COM
64%
22%
15%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
COM
0 - 1
ASD
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
GEL
1 - 1
COM
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
COM
1 - 1
USV
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |