ACR Messina vs ASD Sambiase analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GEL
2 - 0
MES
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MES
1 - 0
USV
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ACP
0 - 3
MES
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MES
0 - 0
COM
75%
16%
10%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
COM
1 - 1
MES
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 2
LIC
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAV
2 - 0
ASD
69%
20%
11%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 1
FCS
48%
24%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ASD
0 - 2
GEL
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
USV
2 - 0
ASD
20%
25%
55%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -2 |