Messancy vs Houffaloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-67%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
9º
7º
26
7º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
5º
|
79.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MES
3 - 2
JEU
44%
22%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
VAU
0 - 1
MES
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MES
3 - 3
CHA
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LAR
1 - 2
MES
46%
23%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MES
2 - 2
LON
21%
20%
60%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Houffaloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
RES
1 - 2
EBE
30%
22%
47%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 0
RES
74%
15%
12%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
RES
1 - 3
GOU
34%
22%
44%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
RES
2 - 0
BAS
48%
21%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VAU
0 - 2
RES
69%
16%
14%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |