Messancy vs Jodoigne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
MES
1 - 0
HAN
37%
23%
41%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MES
1 - 0
EHM
60%
19%
21%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
NOP
2 - 3
MES
26%
21%
54%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MES
5 - 2
FLO
73%
15%
13%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MES
2 - 2
OPP
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Jodoigne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BED
5 - 2
JOD
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
KHZ
1 - 2
JOD
27%
22%
51%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 1
JOD
62%
21%
18%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
JOD
2 - 1
AIS
23%
21%
57%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
RFC
0 - 2
JOD
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |