Messancy vs Mormont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
52.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MES
3 - 0
MEI
20%
21%
59%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MES
2 - 0
MAR
29%
24%
48%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
MON
2 - 2
MES
29%
24%
47%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
MES
2 - 1
SAI
51%
22%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
MES
50%
23%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Mormont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MOR
4 - 1
VAU
65%
18%
17%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
LAR
1 - 2
MOR
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ROS
1 - 0
MOR
14%
19%
66%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 2
MEI
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 4
MOR
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |