Messancy vs Champlon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
57%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
BOM
4 - 1
MES
85%
11%
5%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
MES
2 - 2
WEL
38%
23%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MES
0 - 1
SAR
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
MES
2 - 2
OPP
22%
22%
56%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MES
4 - 2
ROS
47%
23%
31%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Champlon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CHA
4 - 1
VAU
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LAR
1 - 1
CHA
56%
21%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MOR
5 - 2
CHA
63%
20%
18%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
CHA
52%
22%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CHA
3 - 0
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |