Messancy vs Bomal analysis


15	ELO	33
2.4%	Tilt	-2.8%
8029º	General ELO ranking	22748º
230º	Country ELO ranking	444º
ELO win probability

15.1%

Messancy

20.1%

Draw

64.8%

Bomal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

15.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%

20.1%

Draw

0-0

5.2%

1-1

9.5%

2-2

4.4%

3-3

0.9%

4-4

0.1%

0

20.1%

64.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%