Mesia CD vs Once Caballeros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
20.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+503%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mesia CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VIS
1 - 1
MES
69%
17%
14%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
POR
3 - 0
MES
51%
22%
28%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MES
2 - 2
SME
66%
18%
17%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
MES
37%
23%
40%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MES
0 - 1
VIZ
50%
22%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Once Caballeros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ONC
3 - 0
OZA
47%
22%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CIR
4 - 1
ONC
69%
17%
14%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ONC
2 - 1
SUE
23%
21%
56%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
QUE
10 - 0
ONC
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ONC
2 - 3
LAR
48%
22%
30%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |