Mes Sungun vs Ario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+149%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mes Sungun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
EMO
1 - 0
MSV
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
MSV
0 - 1
CHA
25%
26%
49%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MSB
1 - 0
MSV
56%
25%
19%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MSV
0 - 1
SHA
80%
13%
8%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
AST
0 - 1
MSV
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Ario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 2
SMK
22%
28%
50%
|
27 | 58 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SAI
3 - 0
FCA
71%
20%
10%
|
27 | 59 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 0
PAR
17%
24%
59%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NAF
0 - 0
FCA
70%
19%
10%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 2
CHA
14%
22%
64%
|
26 | 55 | 29 | 0 |