Mes Rafsanjan vs Aluminium Arak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
21.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
5º
12º
5º
40
5º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mes Rafsanjan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
ZOB
0 - 0
MES
36%
29%
35%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
MES
0 - 0
GOH
37%
29%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
NAS
1 - 1
MES
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2022 |
PAY
1 - 1
MES
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
MES
0 - 2
EST
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aluminium Arak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
AAK
0 - 1
PER
32%
30%
38%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
AAK
47%
29%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
AAK
0 - 1
SPF
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
SEP
1 - 1
AAK
55%
27%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
AAK
1 - 1
PAY
37%
29%
34%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |