Merw vs Httu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MER
4 - 1
DAO
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
BAL
3 - 1
MER
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
MER
1 - 0
BAG
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
MER
3 - 0
ALT
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
AGA
1 - 2
MER
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Httu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
HTT
2 - 3
BAL
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
BAG
0 - 3
HTT
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
HTT
2 - 1
NIS
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
HTT
4 - 0
AHA
51%
23%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
AGA
1 - 0
HTT
44%
28%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |