Merw vs Altyn Asyr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
57.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
ARK
9 - 0
MER
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MER
2 - 0
AGA
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
EFT
0 - 1
MER
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
MER
2 - 1
KAS
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
AGA
1 - 0
MER
62%
22%
17%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Altyn Asyr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
ALT
4 - 2
EFT
86%
10%
4%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
KAS
0 - 3
ALT
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 0
AGA
70%
17%
13%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
AHA
0 - 2
ALT
44%
24%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 1
BFT
55%
22%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |