Merw vs Şagadam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
46.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2020 |
AGA
1 - 1
MER
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2020 |
MER
3 - 0
AHA
11%
22%
66%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2020 |
EFT
1 - 2
MER
59%
23%
19%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2020 |
MER
0 - 4
ALT
8%
18%
74%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2020 |
KAS
3 - 1
MER
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2020 |
AGA
1 - 2
AHA
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2020 |
AGA
3 - 0
BFT
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2020 |
AGA
1 - 1
AGA
33%
28%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2020 |
EFT
0 - 1
AGA
30%
28%
43%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2020 |
AGA
1 - 0
KAS
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |