Merw vs Şagadam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
AGA
0 - 2
MER
55%
22%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
MER
0 - 0
HTT
51%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
BAL
7 - 0
MER
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MER
4 - 0
TAL
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
AHA
3 - 4
MER
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
AGA
3 - 0
AGA
41%
27%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
HTT
2 - 1
AGA
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
AGA
0 - 2
BAL
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
TAL
1 - 3
AGA
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
AGA
2 - 1
AHA
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |