Mertskhali vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
58.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mertskhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
MER
2 - 1
TEL
29%
23%
48%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
MES
3 - 0
MER
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MER
0 - 1
KOL
18%
24%
58%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
MER
2 - 0
ALG
28%
23%
48%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +3 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
SAP
2 - 0
MER
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
GAG
1 - 2
SHU
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
TEL
1 - 3
GAG
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2014 |
GAG
1 - 1
DIN
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
MES
1 - 2
GAG
29%
25%
46%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
KOL
1 - 1
GAG
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |