Mertskhali II vs Sairme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.2%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
80%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.8%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mertskhali II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
BAK
2 - 1
MER
88%
9%
3%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
MER
0 - 1
SUL
8%
14%
78%
|
11 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
RAC
1 - 0
MER
88%
9%
4%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
SAM
5 - 1
MER
88%
9%
4%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
MER
0 - 3
IME
7%
14%
79%
|
12 | 47 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
Sairme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
SAI
4 - 0
IME
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 3
SAI
15%
18%
67%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +3 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
SAI
7 - 1
SAM
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +3 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
SAI
5 - 1
BAK
43%
22%
35%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
RAC
0 - 3
SAI
37%
22%
41%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |