Conference Premier Round 27

Merthyr Tydfil FC vs Corby Town analysis

Merthyr Tydfil FC Corby Town
44 ELO 48
4.5% Tilt 2.2%
30116º General ELO ranking 8540º
1144º Country ELO ranking 349º
ELO win probability
43%
Merthyr Tydfil FC
24.9%
Draw
32.1%
Corby Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
Merthyr Tydfil FC
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.1%
Win probability
Corby Town
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Merthyr Tydfil FC
Corby Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Merthyr Tydfil FC
Merthyr Tydfil FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Feb. 2009
CHI
Chippenham Town
1 - 0
Merthyr Tydfil FC
MER
47%
25%
28%
46 46 0 0
31 Jan. 2009
MAN
Mangotsfield United
0 - 3
Merthyr Tydfil FC
MER
21%
25%
54%
45 32 13 +1
27 Jan. 2009
MER
Merthyr Tydfil FC
1 - 2
Tiverton Town
TIV
53%
24%
23%
46 44 2 -1
24 Jan. 2009
MER
Merthyr Tydfil FC
2 - 1
Yate Town
YAT
66%
19%
15%
46 33 13 0
20 Jan. 2009
HAL
Halesowen Town
2 - 0
Merthyr Tydfil FC
MER
54%
23%
24%
47 48 1 -1

Matches

Corby Town
Corby Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2009
HIT
Hitchin Town
2 - 2
Corby Town
COR
25%
25%
51%
47 35 12 0
31 Jan. 2009
COR
Corby Town
3 - 1
Bashley
BAS
57%
23%
20%
47 42 5 0
27 Jan. 2009
OXF
Oxford City
0 - 1
Corby Town
COR
47%
24%
29%
46 45 1 +1
24 Jan. 2009
COR
Corby Town
0 - 0
Cambridge City
CAM
43%
26%
31%
46 48 2 0
20 Jan. 2009
BAN
Banbury United
0 - 4
Corby Town
COR
31%
25%
44%
45 36 9 +1