Merthyr Tydfil FC vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Tydfil FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
MER
2 - 2
CLE
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
GLO
1 - 1
MER
60%
22%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
HIT
2 - 2
MER
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2009 |
MER
1 - 0
EVE
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
MER
0 - 2
COR
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
SWI
3 - 2
BAS
55%
24%
20%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 1
BRA
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 0
CAM
32%
26%
42%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
STO
1 - 1
BAS
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 0
CLE
62%
22%
17%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |