Merthyr Town vs Hitchin Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SLO
1 - 0
MER
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MER
1 - 0
CHE
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
DOR
1 - 2
MER
17%
23%
60%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
MER
2 - 0
RED
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
MER
1 - 0
BAN
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hitchin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
HIT
2 - 2
FRO
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
WEY
0 - 2
HIT
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
HIT
2 - 0
KIN
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
STN
1 - 2
HIT
16%
21%
63%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
HIT
1 - 0
STR
76%
15%
8%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |